Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 86.078525 96.126358 106.352080 117.506737 129.301908 141.374891 154.637838
2025-08-31 69.437822 83.860745 99.156360 116.460026 135.372337 155.306434 177.799302
2025-09-07 60.717277 77.726066 96.309326 117.865445 141.944278 167.800423 197.457802
2025-09-14 54.294932 73.236177 94.479036 119.647353 148.266690 179.456967 215.691916
2025-09-21 47.581016 67.677257 90.808356 118.775823 151.110892 186.829067 228.799520
2025-09-28 41.103126 61.795484 86.253240 116.423345 151.866240 191.516688 238.600130
2025-10-05 38.891708 60.893905 87.400476 120.558183 159.937032 204.366135 257.491455
2025-10-12 36.192030 59.125741 87.301814 123.045839 165.953775 214.765160 273.520710
2025-10-19 32.364202 55.595693 84.794877 122.428611 168.144792 220.620751 284.243242
2025-10-26 28.956309 52.353289 82.436594 121.810816 170.184561 226.180858 294.524823
2025-11-02 26.442248 50.132383 81.229056 122.487797 173.676855 233.361669 306.620032
2025-11-09 23.562124 47.170872 78.889106 121.604181 175.161793 238.088222 315.784549
2025-11-16 21.320223 44.992341 77.503791 121.892820 178.083275 244.556583 327.064206
2025-11-23 18.773371 42.150223 75.079133 120.733718 179.134819 248.737508 335.617314
2025-11-30 17.327998 40.879554 74.717313 122.183330 183.379440 256.714305 348.631596
2025-12-07 16.121233 39.886148 74.673314 123.999652 188.049119 265.183406 362.220789
2025-12-14 14.218673 37.582137 72.658980 123.110519 189.232623 269.372113 370.668447
2025-12-21 12.086849 34.664864 69.608648 120.709053 188.395281 271.021664 376.014955
2025-12-28 11.857781 35.083830 71.440628 124.929609 196.050178 283.091337 393.901655
2026-01-04 11.223807 34.708878 72.058857 127.468220 201.526483 292.478293 408.560596
2026-01-11 9.887047 32.890388 70.422777 126.838391 202.854866 296.713640 416.972557
2026-01-18 8.671559 31.161967 68.834727 126.207954 204.132451 300.850388 425.238858
2026-01-25 7.835164 30.096682 68.217757 126.898786 207.112461 307.087549 436.049017